Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 9 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Daniel Michalski		Jacopo Berrettini

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Daniel Michalski
47.3%

Jacopo Berrettini
52.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Jacopo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Michalski is ranked ATP: 295. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 397.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Berrettini will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Michalski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ITF Tournaments
01.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Pierluigi Basile	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Daniel Michalski - Niccolo Catini	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Tommaso Compagnucci - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Michele Ribecai - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Jacopo Berrettini
ITF Tournaments
01.10.25	Giorgio Tabacco - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Iannis Miletich - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Oleksii Krutykh - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Jacopo Bilardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

ITF Tournaments
28.09.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Daniel Michalski	2:0

Daniel Michalski - Jacopo Berrettini