Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NONTHABURI 2 (THAILAND), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 January 2023, Wednesday


	Daniel Michalski		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3	1.37
	2.7	1.39
	3.43	1.32
	3.25	1.33
	3.06	1.34	Watch
	2.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.75)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
31%

Stefano Travaglia
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-1%)

Daniel Michalski - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michalski is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Travaglia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Travaglia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Travaglia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Michalski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
10.01.23	Daniel Michalski - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP United Cup
05.01.23	Daniel Michalski - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
03.01.23	Daniel Michalski - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
02.01.23	Daniel Michalski - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
31.12.22	Daniel Michalski - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 W?LLL
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
10.01.23	Stefano Travaglia - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
02.01.23	Max Purcell - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
25.11.22	Marton Fucsovics - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
24.11.22	Andrew Paulson - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
22.11.22	Stefano Travaglia - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.07.19	Stefano Travaglia - Daniel Michalski	2:0

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