Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANDRIA (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 24 November 2022, Thursday


	Andrew Paulson		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.45	1.52
	2.48	1.52
	2.44	1.57
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.46	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.16)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Paulson
38.6%

Stefano Travaglia
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Paulson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrew Paulson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Andrew Paulson - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Paulson will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Travaglia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Travaglia: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paulson is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Travaglia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paulson could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Travaglia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paulson won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Paulson
ATP Challenger
22.11.22	Mathys Erhard - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
21.11.22	Fabrizio Andaloro - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Luca Fantini - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
07.11.22	Andrew Paulson - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
22.11.22	Stefano Travaglia - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
15.11.22	Stefano Travaglia - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
14.11.22	Henri Squire - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Duje Ajdukovic - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
09.11.22	Stefano Travaglia - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.11.22	Andrew Paulson - Stefano Travaglia	1:2

Andrew Paulson - Stefano Travaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide