Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Daniel Rincon		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	2.98 ↑ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
68.8%

Gabriele Pennaforti
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Daniel Rincon - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 228. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 388.

Two players are playing changeable.

Rincon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rincon will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
22.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Viktor Durasovic	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Denis Yevseyev - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Chris Rodesch	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Filip Misolic - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWL
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Orlando Luz - Gabriele Pennaforti	Pennaforti G. walkover ✺
07.03.25	Valentin Royer - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 L?LWW

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