Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.74
	1.56	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.34	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.38)	2.47 ↓ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
62.2%

Gabriele Pennaforti
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriele Pennaforti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriele Pennaforti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Joel Schwaerzler - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Pennaforti will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 307. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 433.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Pennaforti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Schwaerzler will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Zdenek Kolar - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Federico Coria - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Daniel Vallejo - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Hernan Casanova - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWW
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Maik Steiner	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Thijmen Loof	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.02.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLW

Joel Schwaerzler - Gabriele Pennaforti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide