Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Daniel Rincon		Viktor Durasovic

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.4	Watch
	1.53	2.55
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.84)	2.43 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
61.6%

Viktor Durasovic
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Rincon's performance.

Viktor Durasovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viktor Durasovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Rincon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktor Durasovic than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktor Durasovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Daniel Rincon - Viktor Durasovic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Durasovic (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Rincon (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniel Rincon will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincon (votes: 3 - 75%). Durasovic (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 302. Durasovic is ranked ATP: 442.

Rincon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Durasovic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Durasovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rincon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rincon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Viktor Durasovic - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Clement Tabur - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.01.26	Daniel Rincon - Gavin Young	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWL
- Viktor Durasovic
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Maxime Janvier - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
06.02.26	Viktor Durasovic - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
05.02.26	Viktor Durasovic - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Alexandr Binda - Viktor Durasovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Viktor Durasovic	1:2
13.02.24	Viktor Durasovic - Daniel Rincon	1:2

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