Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Parma, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Daniel Rincon		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.35
	2.95	1.35
	3.14	1.41
	3.01	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.44)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
31.1%

Luca Van Assche
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Rincon's form might have worsened.

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Rincon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Daniel Rincon - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 271. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 100.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Rincon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Van Assche is the team to beat.

We predict that Van Assche will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Rincon - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Luca Van Assche - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
16.06.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 W?WLW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Hugo Grenier - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW

Daniel Rincon - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide