Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Daniel Rincon		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.72	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
53.9%

Pedro Martinez Portero
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Daniel Rincon - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rincon: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 245., and Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 130..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Martinez Portero could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Rincon has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Daniel Rincon - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Daniel Rincon - David Jorda Sanchis	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Daniel Rincon - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Fausto Tabacco - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniel Rincon	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWW?
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	August Holmgren - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Laslo Djere - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniel Rincon	0:2
20.06.23	Daniel Rincon - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2

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