Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	August Holmgren		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.91	1.80	Watch
	1.80	1.90	Watch
	1.80	1.97	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.97
	1.80	1.88	Watch
	1.81	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.72)	1.9 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
51.1%

Pedro Martinez Portero
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for August Holmgren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

August Holmgren - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 245., and Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 130..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Martinez Portero could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Holmgren is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

August Holmgren - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.64%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	August Holmgren - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	August Holmgren - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Benjamin Bonzi - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	August Holmgren - Vadym Ursu	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	August Holmgren - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Laslo Djere - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Maximo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW

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