Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 2 (Argentina), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Daniel Vallejo		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.94	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.84	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.26)	1.84 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
49.7%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alvaro Guillen Meza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alvaro Guillen Meza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Daniel Vallejo - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 234. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 270.

Vallejo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Guillen Meza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guillen Meza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vallejo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.08%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
17.01.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
16.01.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Renzo Olivo - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Adrian Andreev - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
17.01.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Andrea Collarini - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Collarini A. retired ✺
27.11.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
26.11.24	Mateus Alves - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.02.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Daniel Vallejo	1:2
ATP Challenger
12.11.23	Daniel Vallejo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2

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