Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Daniel Vallejo		Facundo Mena

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.82	1.89	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.82	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.19)	1.9 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
51.3%

Facundo Mena
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Facundo Mena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Mena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Daniel Vallejo - Facundo Mena Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mena will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 238. Mena is ranked ATP: 197.

Vallejo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
15.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
08.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
15.10.24	Facundo Mena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Canceled ✺
10.10.24	Federico Coria - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Lautaro Midon - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Jesper De Jong - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Facundo Mena - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LWLL

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