Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Daniel Vallejo		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
			Watch
	2.02	1.82
			Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)	1.78 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
47.5%

Lorenzo Giustino
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Vallejo - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Giustino will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 240. Giustino is ranked ATP: 295.

Vallejo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Giustino is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Giustino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Giustino will win today's game, with odds of 1.92.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Facundo Mena - Daniel Vallejo	Mena F. retired ✺
12.06.25	Daniel Vallejo - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Matteo Martineau - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?LWLL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Valentin Vacherot - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.06.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWW

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