Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zug, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Facundo Mena		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.07	1.73	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.98	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.83)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Mena
47.5%

Daniel Vallejo
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Facundo Mena - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mena will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vallejo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mena is ranked ATP: 251. Vallejo is ranked ATP: 257.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Vallejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Valentin Royer - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
07.07.25	Marco Cecchinato - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Facundo Mena - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Facundo Mena - Daniel Vallejo	Mena F. retired ✺
12.06.25	Facundo Mena - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLL?L
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Pierluigi Basile - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Daniel Vallejo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	Facundo Mena - Daniel Vallejo	Mena F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Facundo Mena - Daniel Vallejo	Mena F. retired
22.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Facundo Mena	2:1

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