Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	Daniil Glinka		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.58	2.24
	1.72	2.15
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)	2.17 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
57%

Tom Gentzsch
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Daniil Glinka - Tom Gentzsch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Glinka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 247. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 286.

Glinka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gentzsch is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gentzsch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Glinka - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Daniil Glinka - Duncan Chan	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Daniil Glinka - Dan Martin	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Daniil Glinka - Jangjun Kim	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Daniil Glinka - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Tom Gentzsch - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Milos Karol - Tom Gentzsch	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.10.25	Tom Gentzsch - Maxime Janvier	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Federico Cina - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

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