Match Info

Date: 25 February 2022, Friday


	Daniil Medvedev		Rafael Nadal

	1	2
	1.61	2.3	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.77	2.07	Watch
	1.67	2.13
	1.79	2.14
	1.73	2.1
	1.79	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.73)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
55.2%

Rafael Nadal
44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Daniil Medvedev have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Rafael Nadal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.1%	0%	35.9%

Daniil Medvedev - Rafael Nadal Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 50 - 64.1%). Nadal will win (votes: 28 - 35.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 53.5% – 74.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nadal is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Acapulco
24.02.22	Daniil Medvedev - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
23.02.22	Daniil Medvedev - Pablo Andujar-Alba	2:0 ✺
22.02.22	Daniil Medvedev - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
30.01.22	Rafael Nadal - Daniil Medvedev	3:2 ✺
28.01.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW
- Rafael Nadal
ATP Acapulco
24.02.22	Rafael Nadal - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
23.02.22	Rafael Nadal - Stefan Kozlov	2:0 ✺
22.02.22	Rafael Nadal - Denis Kudla	2:0 ✺
22.02.22	Rafael Nadal - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
30.01.22	Rafael Nadal - Daniil Medvedev	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
30.01.22	Rafael Nadal - Daniil Medvedev	3:2
ATP World Tour Finals
21.11.20	Daniil Medvedev - Rafael Nadal	2:1
13.11.19	Rafael Nadal - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP US Open
08.09.19	Daniil Medvedev - Rafael Nadal	2:3
ATP Montreal
11.08.19	Rafael Nadal - Daniil Medvedev	2:0

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