Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2024, Wednesday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.02	1.44
	2.78	1.47	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.97	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.45)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
32.4%

Daniil Medvedev
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefanos Tsitsipas's form might have worsened.

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Medvedev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Medvedev will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 12. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 5.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 2.

Recent matches Tsitsipas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Medvedev is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Medvedev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Medvedev will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Medvedev to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14:23 (average 1.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.24	Alex Michelsen - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Shanghai
06.10.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
04.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.24	Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Flavio Cobolli - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
28.10.23	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0
ATP Roma
20.05.23	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.22	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2
ATP Australian Open
28.01.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev	1:3
ATP Roland Garros
08.06.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev	3:0
ATP Australian Open
19.02.21	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:0

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