Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Rafael Nadal		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	2.62	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.55	Watch
	2.7	1.5
	2.55	1.5
	2.73	1.52
	2.6	1.53
	2.88	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.64)	1.52 (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Nadal
36.4%

Daniil Medvedev
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Nadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.4%	0%	39.6%

Rafael Nadal - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 230 users predict this event. Nadal will win (votes: 139 - 60.4%). Medvedev will win (votes: 91 - 39.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nadal: 54.1% – 66.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Both players in the last matches got series of victories.

Medvedev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nadal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Nadal
ATP Australian Open
27.01.22	Matteo Berrettini - Rafael Nadal	1:3 ✺
24.01.22	Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Nadal	2:3 ✺
22.01.22	Adrian Mannarino - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
21.01.22	Karen Khachanov - Rafael Nadal	1:3 ✺
18.01.22	Yannick Hanfmann - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Australian Open
28.01.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
26.01.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	2:3 ✺
23.01.22	Maxime Cressy - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
22.01.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
20.01.22	Nick Kyrgios - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP World Tour Finals
21.11.20	Daniil Medvedev - Rafael Nadal	2:1
13.11.19	Rafael Nadal - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP US Open
08.09.19	Daniil Medvedev - Rafael Nadal	2:3
ATP Montreal
11.08.19	Rafael Nadal - Daniil Medvedev	2:0

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