Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Daniil Medvedev		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.85
	1.41	2.95	Watch
	1.41	2.93	Watch
	1.44	2.90
	1.42	2.92	Watch
	1.40	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.32)	2.87 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
66.9%

Roman Safiullin
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniil Medvedev - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 6., and Safiullin is ranked ATP: 102..

Medvedev is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Safiullin has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Medvedev could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Medvedev for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Hangzhou
27.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
06.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Arthur Rinderknech	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Gorzny	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Hangzhou
27.09.26	Roman Safiullin - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Quentin Halys - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Fajing Sun - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL

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