Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Roman Safiullin		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.78	2.00
	1.91	1.89
	1.84	2.01	Watch
	1.87	2.00
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.79)	1.97 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
51.7%

Bu Yunchaokete
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Roman Safiullin - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 1 - 50%). Yunchaokete (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Bu Yunchaokete will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 102., and Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 111..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Bu Yunchaokete - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 47.11%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Hangzhou
26.09.26	Quentin Halys - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Fajing Sun - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Marton Fucsovics	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLL?
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Hangzhou
26.09.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Michael Zheng	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Michael Zheng	1:3 ✺
02.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Bu Yunchaokete	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWLWL

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