Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maanshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Daniil Ostapenkov		Akira Santillan

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.39	1.59
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.5
	2.32	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.99)	1.54 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Ostapenkov
39.5%

Akira Santillan
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Ostapenkov's performance.

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akira Santillan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Ostapenkov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akira Santillan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniil Ostapenkov - Akira Santillan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 733. Santillan is ranked ATP: 329.

Ostapenkov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santillan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ostapenkov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santillan is the team to beat.

We predict that Santillan will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Ostapenkov
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Daniil Ostapenkov	Canceled ✺
02.03.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Mak Mikovic - Daniil Ostapenkov	Ostapenkov D. retired ✺
19.02.26	Leo Borg - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?W?LW
- Akira Santillan
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Jeremy Schifris - Akira Santillan	Santillan A. retired ✺
10.03.26	Akira Santillan - Daniil Sarksian	Canceled ✺
05.03.26	Akira Santillan - Koki Matsuda	Matsuda K. walkover ✺
04.03.26	Akira Santillan - Yaojie Zeng	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Akira Santillan - Weiwen Pan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ???WW

Daniil Ostapenkov - Akira Santillan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide