Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 6, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Leo Borg		Daniil Ostapenkov

	1	2
	2.37	1.59
	2.32	1.51	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.16	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leo Borg
41.3%

Daniil Ostapenkov
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leo Borg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leo Borg than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leo Borg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Ostapenkov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leo Borg - Daniil Ostapenkov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Borg is ranked ATP: 592. Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 719.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Borg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leo Borg
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Leo Borg - Anton Shepp	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Leo Borg	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Leo Borg - Aleksandr Braynin	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Toufik Sahtali - Leo Borg	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Samir Hamza Reguig - Leo Borg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW
- Daniil Ostapenkov
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Radu Albot - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.01.26	Alexandr Binda - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Maxwell McKennon - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Leo Borg - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2
29.09.22	Leo Borg - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2

Leo Borg - Daniil Ostapenkov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide