Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Wuning 6, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Daniil Sarksian		Noritaka Koizumi

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	1.94	1.77
	2.07	1.78
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.04	1.75
	1.95	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Sarksian
46.8%

Noritaka Koizumi
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Sarksian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Noritaka Koizumi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Sarksian than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Sarksian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noritaka Koizumi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noritaka Koizumi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Daniil Sarksian - Noritaka Koizumi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sarksian is ranked ATP: 936. Koizumi is ranked ATP: 1028.

Sarksian is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Koizumi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sarksian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Sarksian
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Daniil Sarksian - Martin Borisiouk	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Daniil Sarksian - Xing Dao Chen	Chen X. D. Retired ✺
07.07.26	Ye Cong Mo - Daniil Sarksian	Mo Y. C. Retired ✺
16.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Viktor Frydrych	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 L??LL
- Noritaka Koizumi
ITF Tournaments
11.07.26	Arvid Nordquist - Noritaka Koizumi	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	James Van Herzeele - Noritaka Koizumi	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul - Noritaka Koizumi	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Noritaka Koizumi - Yuta Kawahashi	Kawahashi Y. Retired ✺
01.07.26	Noritaka Koizumi - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWW?L

Daniil Sarksian - Noritaka Koizumi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide