Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Dante Pagani		Lucio Ratti

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3	1.32	Watch
	3.02	1.33	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.34	Watch
	3	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.09)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dante Pagani
30.9%

Lucio Ratti
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dante Pagani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Lucio Ratti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dante Pagani than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucio Ratti than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Dante Pagani - Lucio Ratti Predictions

Users Predictions: Lucio Ratti will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pagani is ranked ATP: 976. Ratti is ranked ATP: 607.

Pagani has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Ratti has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pagani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ratti is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dante Pagani
ITF Tournaments
23.11.25	Dante Pagani - Bautista Vilicich	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Dante Pagani - Lautaro Agustin Falabella	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Ignacio Monzon - Dante Pagani	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Fantino Alberca de Las Casas - Dante Pagani	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Tomas Jordi Leston - Dante Pagani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- Lucio Ratti
ATP Challenger
12.01.26	Sebastian Gima - Lucio Ratti	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Arklon Huertas Del Pino - Lucio Ratti	Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. retired ✺
26.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Lucio Ratti - Hady Habib	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Lucio Ratti - Bautista De La Pena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 W?LWW

Dante Pagani - Lucio Ratti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide