Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Sebastian Gima		Lucio Ratti

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	2.01 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Gima
53.9%

Lucio Ratti
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lucio Ratti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Gima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucio Ratti than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucio Ratti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sebastian Gima - Lucio Ratti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gima is ranked ATP: 536. Ratti is ranked ATP: 610.

Gima is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ratti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
11.01.26	Sebastian Gima - Brandon Perez	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Sebastian Gima - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Andres Andrade - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Gima	Canceled
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Sebastian Gima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLL?L
- Lucio Ratti
ATP Challenger
11.01.26	Arklon Huertas Del Pino - Lucio Ratti	Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. retired ✺
26.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Lucio Ratti - Hady Habib	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Lucio Ratti - Bautista De La Pena	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Lucio Ratti - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 ?LWWL

Sebastian Gima - Lucio Ratti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide