Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Warsaw (Poland), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Darja Semenistaja		Maja Chwalinska

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.76	1.46
	2.73	1.48	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.76	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.1)	1.45 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darja Semenistaja
35%

Maja Chwalinska
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darja Semenistaja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darja Semenistaja's form might have worsened.

Maja Chwalinska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maja Chwalinska's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darja Semenistaja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maja Chwalinska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Darja Semenistaja - Maja Chwalinska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Semenistaja is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chwalinska is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chwalinska could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chwalinska will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Chwalinska to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Semenistaja won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darja Semenistaja
ATP Challenger
24.07.24	Darja Semenistaja - Urszula Radwanska	2:0 ✺
23.07.24	Darja Semenistaja - Katarzyna Kawa	Semenistaja D. retired ✺
WTA Palermo
17.07.24	Erika Andreeva - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Diane Parry - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Darja Semenistaja - Mirjam Bjorklund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 W?LLW
- Maja Chwalinska
ATP Challenger
24.07.24	Zarina Diyas - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Maja Chwalinska - Celine Naef	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Tessah Andrianjafitrimo - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Lanlana Tararudee - Maja Chwalinska	Tararudee L. retired ✺
19.07.24	Maja Chwalinska - Arianne Hartono	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWW?W

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