Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Montreux, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Darja Semenistaja		Mona Barthel

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.39	3.07
	1.42	2.77	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.39	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.83)	2.83 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darja Semenistaja
67%

Mona Barthel
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darja Semenistaja's performance.

Mona Barthel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mona Barthel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darja Semenistaja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mona Barthel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Darja Semenistaja - Mona Barthel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Semenistaja (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Darja Semenistaja will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 115. Barthel is ranked WTA: 210.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barthel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Semenistaja won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Mona Barthel - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darja Semenistaja
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Darja Semenistaja - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Darja Semenistaja - Linda Klimovicova	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Darja Semenistaja - Lizette Cabrera	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Darja Semenistaja - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Anouk Koevermans - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL
- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Mona Barthel - Joy De Zeeuw	Canceled ✺
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Tereza Valentova - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Mona Barthel - Mai Hontama	Barthel M. retired ✺
14.07.25	Francisca Laundes - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Mona Barthel - Antonia Ruzic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?L?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.09.24	Darja Semenistaja - Mona Barthel	2:1
11.06.23	Darja Semenistaja - Mona Barthel	Barthel M. retired

Darja Semenistaja - Mona Barthel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide