Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Darwin Blanch		Corentin Denolly

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.21	4.7
	1.26	3.54	Watch
	1.2	4.33
	1.18	4.25	Watch
	1.17	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.44)	4.4 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darwin Blanch
78.7%

Corentin Denolly
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darwin Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darwin Blanch's performance.

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corentin Denolly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darwin Blanch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Denolly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Darwin Blanch - Corentin Denolly Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Blanch will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Denolly will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanch (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Blanch (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanch (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blanch is ranked ATP: 278. Denolly is ranked ATP: 397.

Recent performances by Blanch have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Denolly is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Darwin Blanch - Pavle Marinkov	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Darwin Blanch - Yu Hsiou Hsu	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Darwin Blanch - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Michele Ribecai - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW
- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Alex Bolt - Corentin Denolly	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Yi Zhou - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Corentin Denolly - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Corentin Denolly - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Marek Gengel - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLL

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