Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Liam Draxl		Darwin Blanch

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.85
	1.18	4.42	Watch
	1.42	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	3.15 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
69.9%

Darwin Blanch
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Darwin Blanch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Draxl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darwin Blanch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liam Draxl - Darwin Blanch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 118. Blanch is ranked ATP: 340.

Draxl is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Blanch's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Blanch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Draxl could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.19%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Almaty
11.10.25	Liam Draxl - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Christopher OConnell - Liam Draxl	O'Connell C. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Valentin Vacherot - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LL?LW
- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Darwin Blanch - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Darwin Blanch - Samir Banerjee	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Johannus Monday - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Christian Langmo - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Darwin Blanch - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW

Liam Draxl - Darwin Blanch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide