Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Lichtenstein R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Darwin Blanch		Rafael Nadal

	1	2
	15	1.03	Watch
	11.5	1.03
	14	1.01
	20.84	1.02
	16.79	1.04
	13	1.02	Watch
	14.5	1.02	Watch
	13	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.83 ↑ (4.8)	1.03 ↓ (1.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darwin Blanch
6.5%

Rafael Nadal
93.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

80.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darwin Blanch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darwin Blanch's form might have worsened.

Rafael Nadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Nadal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	7.1%	57.1%

Darwin Blanch - Rafael Nadal Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Blanch will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Nadal will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nadal: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blanch is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nadal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nadal is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darwin Blanch
ITF Tournaments
20.04.24	Darwin Blanch - Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Albert Pedrico Kravtsov - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Benoit Torcq - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Darwin Blanch - Peter Fajta	2:1 ✺
11.04.24	Dali Blanch - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL
- Rafael Nadal
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Flavio Cobolli - Rafael Nadal	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Milos Raonic - Rafael Nadal	Canceled ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
03.03.24	Rafael Nadal - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.24	Rafael Nadal - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LW?LL

Darwin Blanch - Rafael Nadal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide