Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: OTHERS MATCHES (WORLD)

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Michelob Ultra Arena (Las Vegas, NV)


	Rafael Nadal		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	2.6	1.43
	2.65	1.43
	2.75	1.4
	2.74	1.46
	2.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.88)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Nadal
34.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Nadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Rafael Nadal - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Alcaraz Garfia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcaraz Garfia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alcaraz Garfia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nadal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Nadal
ATP Brisbane
05.01.24	Rafael Nadal - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
04.01.24	Jason Kubler - Rafael Nadal	0:2 ✺
02.01.24	Dominic Thiem - Rafael Nadal	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.23	Rafael Nadal - Mackenzie McDonald	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Rafael Nadal - Jack Draper	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Thiago Monteiro	Alcaraz C. retired ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
17.02.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
16.02.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
15.02.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
24.01.24	Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
06.05.22	Rafael Nadal - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
19.03.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Rafael Nadal	1:2
ATP Madrid
05.05.21	Rafael Nadal - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0

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