Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Brescia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Darya Astakhova		Luisina Giovannini

	1	2
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.20	1.60
	2.12	1.76
	2.24	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.22	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.85)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Astakhova
42.2%

Luisina Giovannini
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Astakhova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Astakhova's form might have worsened.

Luisina Giovannini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luisina Giovannini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luisina Giovannini than the current prediction. (-3%)

Darya Astakhova - Luisina Giovannini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Astakhova is ranked WTA: 240. Giovannini is ranked WTA: 174.

Astakhova is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Giovannini's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Astakhova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Astakhova
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Darya Astakhova - Noemi Basiletti	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Tyra Caterina Grant - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Chloe Paquet - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Darya Astakhova - Lisa Pigato	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Xinyu Gao - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWW
- Luisina Giovannini
ITF Tournaments
03.06.26	Francesca Pace - Luisina Giovannini	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Kayla Day - Luisina Giovannini	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Luisina Giovannini - Nadia Podoroska	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Luisina Giovannini - Angelica Moratelli	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Luisina Giovannini - Delia Gaillard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW

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