Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Bujumbura, clay - Final

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Darya Astakhova		Margaux Rouvroy

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.32	3.41
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.36	2.75
	1.34	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.64)	3.01 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Astakhova
69.1%

Margaux Rouvroy
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Astakhova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darya Astakhova's performance.

Margaux Rouvroy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Margaux Rouvroy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darya Astakhova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margaux Rouvroy than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Margaux Rouvroy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Darya Astakhova - Margaux Rouvroy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Astakhova is ranked WTA: 336. Rouvroy is ranked WTA: 352.

Astakhova has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Rouvroy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Astakhova will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Astakhova
ITF Tournaments
11.04.26	Darya Astakhova - Alice Tubello	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Laura Pigossi - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Mathilde Lollia - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Darya Astakhova - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	Astakhova D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWW?
- Margaux Rouvroy
ITF Tournaments
11.04.26	Margaux Rouvroy - Alina Granwehr	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Arianna Zucchini - Margaux Rouvroy	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Laetitia Pulchartova - Margaux Rouvroy	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Carlota Vila Salles - Margaux Rouvroy	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Jenny Lim - Margaux Rouvroy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Darya Astakhova - Margaux Rouvroy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide