Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Darya Astakhova		Marina Bassols Ribera

	1	2
	3.10	1.33
	3.22	1.33
	3.43	1.34
	3.35	1.29	Watch
	3.34	1.32
	3.25	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.42)	1.32 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Astakhova
28.7%

Marina Bassols Ribera
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Astakhova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Astakhova's form might have worsened.

Marina Bassols Ribera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marina Bassols Ribera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Astakhova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marina Bassols Ribera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Darya Astakhova - Marina Bassols Ribera Predictions

Users Predictions: Marina Bassols Ribera will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Astakhova is ranked WTA: 226. Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 133.

Astakhova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bassols Ribera is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bassols Ribera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bassols Ribera is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Astakhova
ITF Tournaments
21.08.26	Darya Astakhova - Rada Zolotareva	Astakhova D. Retired ✺
20.08.26	Darya Astakhova - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Darya Astakhova - Lea Nilsson	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Luna Vujovic - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Elena Milovanovic - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 ?WWLW
- Marina Bassols Ribera
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.26	Sinja Kraus - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
01.08.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:1 ✺
WTA Memphis
28.07.26	Darja Vidmanova - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.07.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Sinja Kraus	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW

Darya Astakhova - Marina Bassols Ribera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide