Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Darya Kasatkina		Claire Liu

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.4	2.95
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.22	4.84
	1.44	2.99
	1.36	3.1
	1.2	4.63	Watch
	1.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.33)	3.58 ↑ (3.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
73%

Claire Liu
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Claire Liu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Darya Kasatkina - Claire Liu Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Liu will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kasatkina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Liu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Liu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kasatkina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Indian Wells
13.03.24	Yue Yuan - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
11.03.24	Sloane Stephens - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Oceane Dodin - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
19.02.24	Darya Kasatkina - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
19.02.24	Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWL?
- Claire Liu
WTA Miami
20.03.24	Claire Liu - Petra Martic	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Greetje Minnen - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Claire Liu - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:1 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.24	Mai Hontama - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Claire Liu - Maria Timofeeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
08.01.24	Claire Liu - Darya Kasatkina	0:2

Darya Kasatkina - Claire Liu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide