Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: INDIAN WELLS (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	12:15	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:15	SportKlub
Brazil	22:15	ESPN 3
Croatia	02:15	SportKlub
Czech Republic	02:15	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	02:15	beIN Sports
Germany	02:15	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	01:15	Eleven Sports
Romania	03:15	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	02:15	SportKlub
Slovenia	02:15	SportKlub


	Yue Yuan		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.62	1.55
	2.62	1.56
	2.5	1.53
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.43	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.1)	1.56 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yue Yuan
38.6%

Darya Kasatkina
61.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yue Yuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yue Yuan's performance.

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darya Kasatkina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yue Yuan than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yue Yuan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darya Kasatkina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Yue Yuan - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Yuan will win (votes: 10 - 31.3%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 22 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 52.7% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yuan in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Kasatkina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yuan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kasatkina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yue Yuan
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.24	Yue Yuan - Caroline Dolehide	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Qinwen Zheng - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Varvara Gracheva - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
WTA Austin
03.03.24	Xiyu Wang - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Yue Yuan - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.24	Sloane Stephens - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Oceane Dodin - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
19.02.24	Darya Kasatkina - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
19.02.24	Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk	Canceled ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWL?L

Yue Yuan - Darya Kasatkina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Yue Yuan - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Preview

Form

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