Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD

Date: 19 February 2024, Monday


	Darya Kasatkina		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	1.57	2.38
	1.6	2.3
	1.62	2.3
	1.63	2.42
	1.67	2.2
	1.6	2.28	Watch
	1.59	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
59%

Marta Kostyuk
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Marta Kostyuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kasatkina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kostyuk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kostyuk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kasatkina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Doha
12.02.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
11.02.24	Elena Rybakina - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Darya Kasatkina - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
09.02.24	Darya Kasatkina - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Darya Kasatkina - Ashlyn Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWW
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Doha
13.02.24	Marta Kostyuk - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	Kostyuk M. retired ✺
11.02.24	Caroline Dolehide - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
22.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Maria Timofeeva	2:0 ✺
18.01.24	Elina Avanesyan - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Brisbane
02.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Tokyo
26.09.23	Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk	2:1
WTA Birmingham
17.06.21	Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA Istanbul
21.04.21	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	2:0
WTA US Open
31.08.20	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	2:0

Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide