Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Darya Kasatkina		Elena Gabriela Ruse

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.62	2.42
	1.56	2.43	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.62	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.42)	2.43 ↓ (3.03)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
60.7%

Elena Gabriela Ruse
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.

Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Gabriela Ruse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Kasatkina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Gabriela Ruse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Darya Kasatkina will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 17. Ruse is ranked WTA: 66.

In recent matches, Kasatkina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ruse is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kasatkina could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Darya Kasatkina - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 68.17%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
31.07.25	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Anna Blinkova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Darya Kasatkina - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW
- Elena Gabriela Ruse
WTA Cleveland
18.08.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
07.08.25	Aoi Ito - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
WTA Montreal
28.07.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
WTA Prague
22.07.25	Katerina Siniakova - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide