Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Darya Kasatkina		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.63	1.54
	2.48	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.58	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.23)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
37.7%

Jessica Pegula
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pegula's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navy won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Navy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Navy have a series of guest games.

Recently Lehigh have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Navy won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1373:1381 (average 68.7:69.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Navy won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 643:632 (average 71.4:70.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Doha
11.02.25	Darya Kasatkina - Elina Avanesyan	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Darya Kasatkina - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Darya Kasatkina - Anastasia Potapova	Canceled ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
05.02.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
WTA Australian Open
20.01.25	Emma Navarro - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WW?LL
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Doha
11.02.25	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
17.01.25	Olga Danilovic - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
13.01.25	Maya Joint - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
11.01.25	Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Charleston
06.04.24	Jessica Pegula - Darya Kasatkina	1:2
WTA Adelaide
12.01.24	Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula	Kasatkina D. walkover
WTA Tokyo
29.09.23	Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula	0:2
WTA Roma
10.05.21	Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula	0:2

Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide