Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - Final

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Elina Svitolina		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.33	1.61
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.35	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.13)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elina Svitolina
40.9%

Jessica Pegula
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elina Svitolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	0%	88%

Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Pegula (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Svitolina (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jessica Pegula will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jessica Pegula will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pegula (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svitolina is ranked WTA: 9. Pegula is ranked WTA: 5.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 2.

Recent performances by Svitolina have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pegula is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pegula could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Pegula will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Jessica Pegula - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.2%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elina Svitolina
WTA Dubai
20.02.26	Elina Svitolina - Cori Gauff	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Antonia Ruzic - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Belinda Bencic - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Paula Badosa - Elina Svitolina	Badosa P. retired ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWW?L
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Dubai
20.02.26	Jessica Pegula - Amanda Anisimova	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Clara Tauson - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Iva Jovic - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Varvara Gracheva - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
29.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
11.03.25	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula	2:1
WTA Doha
11.02.25	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula	0:2
WTA Olympic Games
29.07.24	Jessica Pegula - Elina Svitolina	1:2
WTA US Open
02.09.23	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula	1:2
WTA Washington
04.08.23	Jessica Pegula - Elina Svitolina	2:1
WTA Indian Wells
12.10.21	Jessica Pegula - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Australian Open
14.02.21	Jessica Pegula - Elina Svitolina	2:1

Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide