Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Mayar Sherif		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.28	1.62
	2.31	1.68
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.66
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.45)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mayar Sherif
41.7%

Paula Badosa
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mayar Sherif has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mayar Sherif than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Mayar Sherif - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sherif will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Badosa will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paula Badosa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sherif is ranked WTA: 73. Badosa is ranked WTA: 93.

Sherif is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Badosa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Badosa could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Badosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sherif won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Paula Badosa - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 61.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mayar Sherif
WTA Hamburg
23.07.26	Mayar Sherif - Elsa Jacquemot	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Simona Waltert - Mayar Sherif	1:2 ✺
WTA Iasi
20.07.26	Mayar Sherif - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. Retired ✺
18.07.26	Mayar Sherif - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Yulia Putintseva - Mayar Sherif	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WW?WW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Hamburg
23.07.26	Paula Badosa - Panna Udvardy	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Iasi
20.07.26	Mayar Sherif - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. Retired ✺
18.07.26	Paula Badosa - Tamara Zidansek	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Panna Udvardy - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Iasi
20.07.26	Mayar Sherif - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. Retired
WTA Charleston
04.04.23	Paula Badosa - Mayar Sherif	2:0

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