The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Darya Kasatkina 66.3%
Sonay Kartal 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.4%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.5%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.
Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sonay Kartal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Kasatkina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sonay Kartal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
0%
45.5%
Darya Kasatkina - Sonay Kartal Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Kartal will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 25.1% – 83.9%.