Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	David Goffin		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	2	1.82	Watch
	1.95	1.93
	1.95	1.79	Watch
	2	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.32)	1.85 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
48.6%

Alexandre Muller
51.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in David Goffin's performance.

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandre Muller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with David Goffin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandre Muller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

David Goffin - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Goffin will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Muller will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goffin: 59.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): David Goffin will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Goffin is ranked ATP: 87. Muller is ranked ATP: 38.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Goffin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Goffin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	David Goffin - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	David Goffin - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
23.09.25	Arthur Rinderknech - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Yi Zhou - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 L?WWL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Fabian Marozsan - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Alexandre Muller - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexandre Muller	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Darwin Blanch - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
24.04.25	David Goffin - Alexandre Muller	Goffin D. retired

David Goffin - Alexandre Muller