Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.5	2.51	Watch
	1.54	2.63
	1.56	2.40	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.54	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)	2.5 ↓ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
62%

Alexandre Muller
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 8 - 20%). Muller will win (votes: 32 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 67.6% – 92.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Muller (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexandre Muller will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Muller (votes: 14 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 28. Muller is ranked ATP: 38.

Recent form of Tsitsipas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Muller has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Muller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tsitsipas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tsitsipas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Hopman Cup
19.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Darwin Blanch - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Jenson Brooksby - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Alexandre Muller - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Alexandre Muller - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
09.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexandre Muller	2:0

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