Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Yi Zhou		David Goffin

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.04	1.8
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.23)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
45.9%

David Goffin
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Yi Zhou - David Goffin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 304. Goffin is ranked ATP: 87.

Zhou has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Goffin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Goffin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

David Goffin - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.07%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Yi Zhou - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Cameron Norrie - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Peter Buldorini - Yi Zhou	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Michael Agwi - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Yi Zhou - Yu Hsiou Hsu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LW?WL
- David Goffin
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Lorenzo Musetti - David Goffin	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Quentin Halys - David Goffin	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	David Goffin - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Sebastian Baez - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLL

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