Match Info

Date: 16 October 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	David Novak		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.2	1.67
	2.16	1.65
	2.31	1.69
	2.2	1.67
	2.22	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.26)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Novak
43.5%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
56.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Novak than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.5%	0%	78.5%

David Novak - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (62 of 79 users predict this - 78.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.42% – 87.54%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Novak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novak won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Novak
ATP Cologne
14.10.20	Benoit Paire - David Novak	0:2 ✺
12.10.20	Jordan Thompson - David Novak	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.09.20	Alexander Zverev - David Novak	3:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
09.09.20	David Novak - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - David Novak	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Cologne
15.10.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
13.10.20	Emil Ruusuvuori - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.10.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
29.09.20	Harold Mayot - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
15.09.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
31.08.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - David Novak	3:2

David Novak - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina