Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 LIMA (PERU), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 November 2022, Thursday


	Davide Pontoglio		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.86	1.86
	1.74	1.9
	1.8	1.94
	1.8	1.91
	1.81	1.91	Watch
	1.76	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2)	1.93 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Davide Pontoglio
52.1%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Davide Pontoglio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Davide Pontoglio's performance.

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alvaro Guillen Meza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Davide Pontoglio than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Davide Pontoglio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alvaro Guillen Meza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Davide Pontoglio
ITF Tournaments
09.11.22	Nicolas Buitrago - Davide Pontoglio	0:2 ✺
03.11.22	Davide Pontoglio - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
27.10.22	Davide Pontoglio - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
26.10.22	Elio Jose Ribeiro Lago - Davide Pontoglio	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Davide Pontoglio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ITF Tournaments
09.11.22	Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.11.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
02.11.22	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
24.10.22	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Max Houkes	Guillen Meza A. retired ✺
23.10.22	Gonzalo Villanueva - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Guillen Meza A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLW??

Davide Pontoglio - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide