Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Dayana Yastremska		Elena Gabriela Ruse

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.12	Watch
	1.72	2.12	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.74	2.12	Watch
	1.72	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.58)	2.12 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dayana Yastremska
55.1%

Elena Gabriela Ruse
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dayana Yastremska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dayana Yastremska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Gabriela Ruse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Dayana Yastremska - Elena Gabriela Ruse Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Yastremska will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Ruse will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yastremska: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Yastremska (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ruse (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Yastremska (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Yastremska (votes: 2 - 50%). Ruse (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yastremska is ranked WTA: 27. Ruse is ranked WTA: 79.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Yastremska may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yastremska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dayana Yastremska
WTA Adelaide
13.01.26	Katerina Siniakova - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Sorana Cirstea - Dayana Yastremska	Canceled ✺
WTA Brisbane
08.01.26	Dayana Yastremska - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Dayana Yastremska - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 L?LWW
- Elena Gabriela Ruse
WTA Adelaide
11.01.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Katerina Siniakova - Elena Gabriela Ruse	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Katie Swan - Elena Gabriela Ruse	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
03.01.26	Sofia Kenin - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Zeynep Sonmez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
25.08.23	Dayana Yastremska - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2
WTA Hamburg
10.07.21	Dayana Yastremska - Elena Gabriela Ruse	1:2
WTA Nottingham
12.06.19	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Dayana Yastremska	Canceled

Dayana Yastremska - Elena Gabriela Ruse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide