Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Dayana Yastremska		Elise Mertens

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Dayana Yastremska
36.7%

Elise Mertens
63.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dayana Yastremska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Yastremska is ranked WTA: 45. Mertens is ranked WTA: 25.

Recent performances by Yastremska have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mertens is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Yastremska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mertens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Mertens will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yastremska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dayana Yastremska
WTA Roland Garros
30.05.25	Dayana Yastremska - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Diana Shnaider - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Dayana Yastremska - Destanee Aiava	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
07.05.25	Dayana Yastremska - Anastasia Potapova	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Dayana Yastremska - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLL
- Elise Mertens
WTA Hertogenbosch
15.06.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Elise Mertens - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Yue Yuan - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Maria Sakkari - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Viktoriya Tomova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

WTA Chicago 2
28.09.21	Elise Mertens - Dayana Yastremska	2:0

Dayana Yastremska - Elise Mertens