Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KNOXVILLE (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Denis Kudla		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.68
	2.2	1.72
	2.21	1.72
	2.1	1.67
	2.16	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.81)	1.68 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Kudla
43.9%

Alex Michelsen
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Kudla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Kudla's form might have worsened.

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Michelsen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Kudla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Denis Kudla - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kudla will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Michelsen will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Michelsen to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Kudla
ATP Challenger
11.11.23	Denis Kudla - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Denis Kudla - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Martin Damm - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Denis Kudla - Patrick Kypson	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	Denis Kudla - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
11.11.23	Alex Michelsen - Tennys Sandgren	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
08.11.23	Gabriel Debru - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
06.11.23	Bernard Tomic - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
31.10.23	Cannon Kingsley - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL

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