Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHAMPAIGN (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Bernard Tomic		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.33
	3.2	1.32
	3.06	1.39
	3.06	1.4
	3.25	1.33
	3.3	1.3	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.9)	1.34 (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
29.8%

Alex Michelsen
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Bernard Tomic - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tomic: 65.7% – 97.9%.

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Preview

Recent matches Tomic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michelsen in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Michelsen is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tomic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
06.11.23	Bernard Tomic - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
31.10.23	Bernard Tomic - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.10.23	Bernard Tomic - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Bernard Tomic - Shunsuke Mitsui	2:1 ✺
20.10.23	Bernard Tomic - Luca Wiedenmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
12.11.23	Denis Kudla - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Alex Michelsen - Tennys Sandgren	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
08.11.23	Gabriel Debru - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
06.11.23	Bernard Tomic - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.11.23	Bernard Tomic - Alex Michelsen	1:2

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